Showing posts with label local election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label local election. Show all posts

Friday, 4 May 2012

Local Elections 2012 – The Aftermath

The counting of votes is still under way but it seems clear that the Conservatives are paying the price for their savage cuts programme and the Liberal Democrats are being severely punished for selling their support to the Tories for a miniscule bit of power like so many cheap hookers (although I feel that is being a little harsh on hookers because they have more integrity).
Labour must be rubbing their hands in glee at the result but they must keep in mind that the voters may well have been using them as a protest vote against the Coalition much in the same way as the Liberal Democrats were used during successive Tory or Labour administrations.  Also bear in mind, that the voter turnout figures were low; for the local examples in Thurrock, we see the highest turnout being only 35.51% in Corringham & Fobbing and the lowest being 19.25% in Tilbury St. Chads.  For the full results of the Thurrock elections, go to http://www.thurrock.gov.uk/democracy/content.php?page=service_news&ID=4313.
Nationally, several councils that were under No Overall Control (NOC) have swung over to Labour control, a clear sign that the Coalition partners are seen in a very dim light.  If the voter turnout figures follow a similar pattern to those in Thurrock, the level of voter apathy is even higher than usual and must be an indication of almost wholesale disaffection in the entire process of elections.  This disaffection could be due to the electorate finally believing that there is no one who can truly say represents them.  The three main parties are getting less and less in touch and the smaller parties have no hope of gaining any significant power, a sign that the age of party tribalism is ending, perhaps?
The indications are that the next General Election will be a vicious affair with a battle to the death for all concerned in order to get the votes they need.  Casualties will be high.  The question is – will the casualties be the electoral candidates or the members of the UK electorate?
Until next time…

Wednesday, 2 May 2012

The Final Results – Grays Riverside Local Election Running Commentary part 5

So, we come to the last episode of my running commentary on the current local election and it has been a much better fight for the position of Grays Riverside councillor than last year.  Below is the final scores for each candidate based on the rating scale I created.
The Candidates and Where They Stand
Below is a table of the scores each candidate received.  I have not, however, identified the names of the candidates but simply used their party affiliation as there really is no reason to pour scorn on the candidates until they are elected.

Party à
Conservative
Labour
BNP
UKIP
Lib Dem
Ratings â
(3 leaflets left)
(1 leaflet left)
(2 leaflets left)
(3 leaflets left)

N/A
Eagerness
4
3
5
2
0
Engagement
1
1
1
1
N/A
Local focussed?
3/2/(2) [2.5]
2
0/0
2/0/0 [0.7]
N/A
Information
2/1/(3) [1.5]
1
0/0
1/0/0 [0.3]
N/A
Blame Game
0/0/(0)
0
3/0 [1.5]
0/0/0
N/A
Passion
2/1/(2) [1.5]
2
0/0
1/1/1 [1]
N/A
Willingness To Work Together
0/0/(1) [0]
0
0/0
0/0/0
N/A
Presentation
3/2/(3) [2.5]
3
0/0
2/0/0 [0.7]
N/A
Fear mongering
0/0/(1) [0]
1
0/0
1/0/0 [0.3]
N/A
Exactly how will you ensure your pledges will be enacted?
0/0/(1) [0]
0
0/0
1/0/0 [0.3]
N/A
Bonus Points
(7)
2
-
-
N/A






Total Score
13
15
7.5
6.3
0


Please note: Examples using the format above for the numbers in brackets are listed below so you can see why the score was assigned.
·         (2) – the score for a leaflet that is about the party and not the candidate and was, therefore, removed from the candidate’s score.
·         [2.5] – the score in square brackets is based on the average score if more than one leaflet was left.
As you can see it was a very close race for top spot between the Labour and Conservative candidates and the Liberal Democrat candidate came a very poor last with a complete no-show.  Of course, my rating scale is based on my subjective judgement on the evidence to hand and I feel that I have actually been over-generous in some of the allocation of my scores.  Yes, there was much more of a contest this year but the candidates still did not really sell themselves as well as they should have and, in this respect, the contest was as lacklustre as last year’s performance.  In fact, it could be said that last year’s contest was better, in that, the one candidate who did make an appearance actually did sell herself very well; it was only my feeling that I could not vote at all without some knowledge of her competitors that prevented me from voting for her, something I deeply regret.
I will, however, be voting this year as I have had the chance to weigh up the candidates and I will be voting for the Labour candidate, not because I am a Labour supporter but because his leaflet was the most persuasive in showing him to be the best person for the job.
Postscript
Just in case last year’s candidate is reading this, I would like to say this – I did not vote for you last year for the reasons I have already given but, should you stand again, you have my vote with no need to ask for it.  When my good name was smeared by a fellow blogger, you pledged to support me if I wished to make an issue of it even though I told you on the telephone that I had not voted for you.  That is an act of a true representative and should be recognised as such. So, Ms Morris-Cook, when you run again you can be assured of one enthusiastic vote because I know you have my interests to heart, from your recent actions and our conversation on my doorstep last year.

Until next time...

Saturday, 28 April 2012

Valen’s Handy-Dandy Local Election Rating Scale(TM) - Grays Riverside Local Election Running Commentary part 4

Not only has the race for the Grays Riverside Ward seat on Thurrock Council hotted up, it has produced, as a sidebar, my new trademarked election rating scale, VHDLERS.  The acronym may not be the best but it does mean I have less to type.  I have rated the first three of the five candidates based on the VHDLERS elements and the results are below with the explanation of the scoring system.
The UKIP candidate left some literature in my letterbox yesterday so I have only had the chance to look at it with a cursory glance and the Liberal Democrat candidate has not even bothered to send any literature at all.  For these reasons, the UKIP and Liberal Democrat candidates are to be covered in the next chapter of this running commentary.
The Rating Elements And How They Are Scored
There are ten elements upon which a candidate is being scored with an eleventh ‘bonus’ element that a candidate may earn extra points.  Rather than go into a deep discussion of the elements, I will give you a bullet pointed list with the most salient details.
·         Eagerness
o   This is a measure of how quickly the candidate made contact on a sliding scale of 0 (I only put my name down for a laugh) to 5 (extremely eager/first one to enter the race)
·         Engagement
o   This is a measure of the length of time spent explaining why they should be elected:
§  5 = protracted face-to-face contact
§  4 = long face-to-face contact
§  3 = reasonable length face-to-face contact
§  2 = short face-to-face contact
§  1 = literature posted through letterbox only
§  0 = no show
·         Local focussed?
o   This is a measure of how focussed the engagement was on local issues on a sliding scale of 0 (national focus only) to 3 (very locally focussed)
·         Information
o   This is a measure of how detailed the information given was in order for an informed decision could be made on a sliding scale of 0 (details? what do you mean?) to 3 (extremely detailed)
·         Blame Game
o   This is a measure of how much blame a candidate assigns to the other parties on a sliding scale from 0 (it’s all their fault!) to 3 (I’m not going to assign blame)
·         Passion
o   This is a measure of how passionately the candidate sold themselves through their use of language and powers of persuasion on a sliding scale of 0 (could not give a toss) to 3 (extremely passionate)
·         Willingness To Work Together
o   This is a measure of a candidate’s willingness to forget partisan differences in order to work together in the common good on a sliding scale of 0 (work with them? You are kidding! / N/A) to 3 (extremely willing)
·         Presentation
o   This is a measure of how well presented the candidate’s case for being elected was on a sliding scale of 0 (non-existent) to 5 (excellent).
o   This measure is split into separate scores for face-to-face contact and literature.  If more than on leaflet was left, each leaflet was given a score with an average score derived from the combined total divided by the number of leaflets.
·         Fear mongering
o   This is a measure of how much fear was produced or the victimisation of certain groups in society (except political groups) on a sliding scale of 0 (extreme) to 3 (none)
·         Exactly how will you ensure your pledges will be enacted?
o   This is a measure of how clearly the candidate shows how the pledges they make will be achieved on a sliding scale from 0 (lack of clear proposals) to 3 (extremely clear proposals)
·         Extra points are awarded for the use of certain key words or phrases.  I’m not, however, going to tell you what they are in case any candidates are reading this and want to have another go.
The Candidates and Where They Stand
Below is a table of the scores each candidate received.  I have not, however, identified the names of the candidates but simply used their party affiliation as there really is no reason to pour scorn on the candidates until they are elected.

Party à
Conservative
Labour
BNP
Ratings â
(3 leaflets left)
(1 leaflet left)
(2 leaflets left)
Eagerness
4
3
5
Engagement
1
1
1
Local focussed?
3/2/(2) [2.5]
2
0/0
Information
2/1/(3) [1.5]
1
0/0
Blame Game
0/0/(0)
0
3/0 [1.5]
Passion
2/1/(2) [1.5]
2
0/0
Willingness To Work Together
0/0/(1) [0]
0
0/0
Presentation
3/2/(3) [2.5]
3
0/0
Fear mongering
0/0/(1) [0]
1
0/0
Exactly how will you ensure your pledges will be enacted?
0/0/(1) [0]
0
0/0
Bonus Points
(7)
2
-




Total Score
13
15
7.5


Please note: Examples using the format above for the numbers in brackets are listed below so you can see why the score was assigned.
·         (2) – the score for a leaflet that is about the party and not the candidate and was, therefore, removed from the candidate’s score.
·         [2.5] – the score in square brackets is based on the average score if more than one leaflet was left.
In a way, it was a shame that the Conservative candidate left his party’s manifesto as that scuppered his score but I could not in all good conscience allow the points earned by the party manifesto as it was not ‘selling’ him but the party.
I shall be waiting for the Liberal Democrat candidate with baited breath this weekend and will post the scores for the UKIP candidate on Monday.
Until next time…